000
FXUS64 KSHV 111500
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1000 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2008

.DISCUSSION...

12Z KSHV SOUNDING INDICATES ANOTHER PLEASANT AFTERNOON IN STORE FOR
THE FOUR-STATE AREA...W/ONLY MINOR TWEAKING TO AFTERNOON TEMPS.
WE/LL TO A QUICK UPDATE TO REMOVE MORNING FOG AND ADJUST GRIDS TO
DOVETAIL W/CURRENT CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...

PATCHY FG HAS QUICKLY BURNED OFF THIS MORNING...WITH VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD. NW-SE BAND OF
4-6KFT CU OVER CNTRL AR/EXTREME NE LA CONTINUES TO SHIFT W ALONG THE
WRN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS...WITH A SCT CU FIELD
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN BY LATE MORNING ELSEWHERE. CU FIELD WILL
DIMINISH AGAIN AROUND 00Z...ALTHOUGH COULD SEE ADDITIONAL CU
DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT OVER EXTREME ERN TX/WRN LA/POSSIBLY EXTREME
SW AR...AROUND THE OUTER EDGES OF THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE. WITH SFC
WINDS DECOUPLING AGAIN TONIGHT...COULD ALSO SEE PATCHY FG DEVELOP
ONCE AGAIN...ALTHOUGH BNDRY LYR WINDS SHOULD REMAIN 10-15KTS...THUS
KEEPING ANY BR DEVELOPMENT MINIMAL. SE WINDS OF 5-8KTS TODAY WITH
DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 5KTS OVERNIGHT. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  85  65  84  65  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
MLU  84  63  84  64  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
DEQ  82  62  82  62  82 /   0   0   0   0  10
TXK  82  64  82  63  84 /   0   0   0   0  10
ELD  82  62  84  64  83 /   0   0   0   0  10
TYR  83  65  86  66  86 /   0   0   0   0  10
GGG  82  64  85  65  85 /   0   0   0   0  10
LFK  85  66  86  67  86 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15/44

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion